Shortly after US-Israeli strikes killed Iran’s Supreme Leader on February 28th, the Lebanese armed group Hezbollah fired rockets into northern Israel. Israel subsequently launched airstrikes and a ground invasion of Lebanon, forcing upwards of 700,000 people, including around 200,000 children, to flee their homes and placing enormous strain on families, communities and aid services. Millions of people across Lebanon are now facing the gravest threats to their safety since Israel and Hezbollah agreed a ceasefire in November 2024, with displacement highly likely to surge in the coming days should hostilities continue.

Lebanon ranked in the top 10 of the IRC’s 2026 Emergency Watchlist, released in December 2025, as one of the countries globally at highest risk of humanitarian deterioration in 2026. Renewal of conflict was the top risk facing Lebanon, which IRC warned would trigger a new wave of civilian suffering and displacement. This is now unfolding.